@article {432, title = {Ecological niche modeling predicting the potential invasion of the non-native millipede Oxidus gracilis (C. L. Koch, 1847) (Polydesmida: Paradoxosomatidae) in Brazilian Atlantic Forest}, journal = {Annales de la Soci{\'e}t{\'e} entomologique de France (N.S.)}, year = {2020}, month = {16/11/2020}, pages = {1-8}, abstract = {

Summary: The millipede Oxidus gracilis (C. L. Koch, 1847) is a cosmopolitan introduced species largely recorded in the southeast region of Brazil. The species is considered an agricultural pest with records in poly- or monocultures, and its influence on native communities of plants and invertebrates is still unknown in Brazil. From this perspective, a maximum entropy model was used to explore the predicted distribution of O. gracilis in Brazil. The results showed a highly suitable area in Atlantic Forest (AUC = 0.949 \± 0.02). Considering percent contribution, annual mean temperature (= 54.9) was the main variable which has influenced the modeling. The potentially suitable areas recovered in Atlantic Forest suggest that attention should be given to its possible invasion and the potential damage of O. gracilis to natural communities.

Mod\élisation de la niche \écologique pr\édisant l\’invasion potentielle du mille-pattes non indig\ène Oxidus gracilis (C. L. Koch, 1847) (Polydesmida : Paradoxosomatidae) dans la for\êt atlantique br\ésilienne

R\ésum\é: Le mille-pattes Oxidus gracilis (C. L. Koch, 1847) est une esp\èce introduite cosmopolite et largement observ\ée dans la r\égion sud-est du Br\ésil. L\’esp\èce est consid\ér\ée comme un ravageur agricole des mono- et polycultures, et son influence sur les communaut\és indig\ènes de plantes et d\’invert\ébr\és est encore inconnue au Br\ésil. Dans cette perspective, un mod\èle d\’entropie maximale a \ét\é utilis\é pour explorer la distribution potentielle d\’O. gracilis au Br\ésil. Les r\ésultats ont montr\é une zone favorable \élev\ée dans la for\êt atlantique (AUC = 0.949 \± 0.02). La temp\érature moyenne annuelle (= 54.9) a \ét\é la principale variable qui a influenc\é la mod\élisation. Les zones potentiellement favorables de la for\êt atlantique sugg\èrent qu\’il faut \être vigilant quant \à sa possible invasion et aux dommages potentiels sur les communaut\és indig\ènes.

}, keywords = {Diplopoda, introduced species, potential distribution, South America}, issn = {0037-9271}, doi = {10.1080/00379271.2020.1834873}, url = {https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00379271.2020.1834873}, author = {Moretti Iniesta, Luiz Felipe and Bouzan, Rodrigo S. and Rodrigues, Patricia E. S. and De Almeida, Tha{\'\i}s Melo and Ott, Ricardo and Brescovit, Antonio D.} }